Tag Archives: Calculated Risk

How Trading Can Help Contribute to Early Retirement 

Early retirement is without doubt not happening overnight. Jump starting this process can entail quite a few challenges and among those, a reduction in your monthly income, at least in the beginning. Developing a reliable long-term income strategy is therefore essential for a successful early retirement. 

The main problem we are all facing is that, with the passing of time, we will lose the purchasing power of our savings if we don’t put them to work. But what if we could find a profitable way to turn our savings into more? Learning the foundations governing the financial word is key to ensuring our purchasing power over time and to generate an extra source of income to increase the value of our portfolio.

Added to discovering the beauties and complexities of the financial market, we would have a more comprehensive view on what is happening to our current economy following the Covid-19 outbreak, and have the opportunity to expand our horizons both personally and professionally.

What is Trading?

Trading is the activity in which transactions, such as the buying and selling of stocks, commodities, currency pairs and other instruments, are carried out with the goal of profiting from the financial market. 

To maximize their returns, traders engage in multiple small operations daily to collect steady profits over time. There are a variety of trading styles based on time availability, making trading extremely flexible and versatile. 

By having complete control over the operations and the strategies behind them, the opportunities to secure a profit are endless in this market. Dedicating even a fraction of time to this activity, can guarantee a second income source to contribute to early retirement. The advantages? Trading can be carried out comfortably from your home computer, at any time of the day and for however long it suits you. 

How to Start Trading?

Diving into this new activity can seem frightening and challenging but with the right attitude and training, even something as complicated as trading can be broken down and made easy to understand. A leading academy comes to mind when deciding to enter this word with no foundation whatsoever: Trading from Zero.

Trading From Zero is an online trading academy focused on bringing together all aspects of theoretical and practical knowledge with the goal of empowering individuals to be autonomous in the decision-making processes and have the ability to freely trade in the market without the need for intermediaries.

By learning the foundations and the tools used to face the markets in combination with the work of our professional traders, you will have all the knowledge necessary to make more conscious investing decisions and increase your chances of retiring early. Put simply, by learning how to trade, you can generate an extra income to retire early.

The Trading From Zero Team prides itself for being constantly learning and always updated in terms of knowledge and operations, significantly facilitating student’s learning process. The combination of detailed theoretical classes with the exceptional practical component, makes the entire course very valuable in terms of quality and usefulness.

How Trading Can Help Contribute to Early Retirement 

Trading From Zero Course Outline

Beginner’s Course

This is an intensive 4-week course to lay the foundations of trading. No prior knowledge or experience is required. The course’s 10 live theoretical classes explore concepts such as the difference between operating through a third party and on your own, all there is to know about technical analysis, what are the most commonly used trading styles and much more. There is an entire section dedicated to time management that has proven very useful for early retirees as well.  

There is also the possibility to download a free demo software where all the knowledge gathered can be put into practice. In case any sessions are missed, all the classes can be viewed on the website along with additional materials and practice exercises. Access to content is lifelong. To take advantage of an 86% discount on the course for Leisure Freak readers, click here

Can you Live from trading?

It’s certainly possible.

Depending on your risk profile, your training and your time availability, you have the chance to reach financial freedom and retire early.  

Trading From Zero can offer you clear theoretical classes along with the essential practical experience. Our courses are led by professionals who stand by each and every student at any time, so that everyone has the chance to learn first-hand the effort and discipline required to ensure a serious and professional management.

Learning to invest in the stock market today, and living from trading tomorrow, is possible and can become your reality as long as you receive the necessary preparation.

This article on how trading can help in early retirement was written by a friend and Leisure Freak reader Federica Longi who is currently working at Trading from Zero in Madrid, Spain.

Leisure Freak received no payment for posting this article nor any commissions when readers enroll in Trading from Zero courses. Post author Federica Longi and Trading from Zero has graciously offered a large discount to Leisure Freak readers who choose to enroll in their trading course. The discount applies by using the special “click here” link in Beginner’s Course section of the article provided above.

Retirement Travel Budget & Nowhere To Go? Pandemic Daytripper Tips

This is certainly the year for the summer day trip. We had a full year of vacation travel scheduled and budgeted for this spring through fall season. Events we attend have been rightfully cancelled. Places we enjoy staying for a week of leisure are partially open but are now COVID-19 hot zones. No thanks. As hotels and restaurants are doing their best to be safe, too much is still unknown. That’s why we have taken to day trips. Our plan is to take at least 2 day trips a month. Here are our pandemic daytripper tips for those who are itching for a little fun while doing your best to be safe.

Retirement Travel Budget & Nowhere To Go? Pandemic Daytripper Tips

 

Pandemic Daytripper Tips For a Little Fun as Safely as Possible

Obviously the safest thing to protect us from the virus is to stay at home in isolation. We have all been doing that and for some of us it’s getting a little old. According to health officials we also should socially distance and wear a mask when in public. Unfortunately not everyone is willing or able to do that. Judging from the massive infection and hospitalization upticks around the country, this virus obviously remains a viable threat.

What we decided is that we can have fun day trips and take necessary precautions to do so without too much viral worry. The pandemic daytripper tips being shared here will hopefully give you ideas of your own to get out of the house and have some feeling of a normal but different travel season.

Pick a destination and do a little research before you travel

How Far To Travel

First thing I did was decide on how far we day trip. I decided for now that we would pick a destination that allowed us to get there and home on a single tank of gas. Roughly a 300 plus mile round trip. So far that has been plenty to get us where we want to go, allow for some casual exploration once there, and get us home with plenty of fuel left to spare.

There are cases of COVID-19 in our county and town but so far very few compared to bigger urban locations. So picking a gas station close to home that’s away from a freeway to fill up is a virus avoidance decision. As always these days, I avoid fueling standing directly in front of someone on the other side of the pump. When I have clorox wipes available I pre wipe the gas handle. If not, I use the paper towels most stations supply as a hand to handle barrier. I then always use hand sanitizer after fueling. I never touch my face until after I get home to thoroughly wash my hands. These are good refueling pandemic daytripper tips if you have to fuel up anywhere, especially in a viral hot spot or heavily trafficked gas station.

Where To Travel To

In our case there are nearby rural and mountain recreational type counties we have spent little to no time in other than driving through them to go somewhere else. We have often seen smaller towns, their exit signs, and other points of interest and thought it would be fun to check them out.

I do a quick online search (XYZ county/city/etc. COVID-19 case numbers) to research their county’s coronavirus numbers and whether there are restrictions in place. Such as mandatory face masks, full closure or limitations of restaurants, etc. so we can be prepared and decide whether we want to visit. I never want to go where I won’t be welcome or have no safe reason to go.

In one destination that we day tripped to they only had one county counted COVID case so it was of little surprise to see not one person in that rural town wearing a face mask. Even so, we did wear ours out of respect when in public because we traveled from somewhere else. Another targeted day trip destination was dropped after reading they had a large spike of cases and some of the infected refused to cooperate with contact tracing efforts. Virus drama I would just rather avoid.

Know Your Route before You Go

Like any road travel it’s best to pre plan your route. I like to go online and check for any major construction zones and even check the weather for where we are headed. I even prefer to see if there are alternate routes so we can go one way and return a different route.

Along with this it’s a good idea to see what towns and rest stops you might pass and any services offered or restricted. Nothing worse than having to go and there’s no place to stop. When we do stop, we prefer stopping at a local grocery where we can also buy a cold beverage or treat, like an ice cream bar on a hot day.

What To See Or Do Once There

Some of the places we go have a point of interest. Others are a gateway to BLM or other outdoor recreation. We have either already heard about it or we do an online search to find out. Others are just in a beautiful place. We go because we have never been there before and want to see it. Other times it’s all about the drive. The destination is just a place to stretch our legs and have lunch. 

Not knowing exactly what we will find in the way of eateries, we pack a small cooler with drinks and lunch. Although there may be cafes or restaurants open, they may hit their safe service capacity.  Aside from that, even as restaurants are doing their best to be safe, we’ve decided that for this travel season we will avoid indoor dining. We do love a nice outdoor spread out seating experience. Especially a food truck parked next to a craft brewery. If we do find our lunch someplace then we just eat our packed lunch for dinner once home. 

One of our pandemic daytripper tips regards going to destinations where we know we will be eating our packed lunch. For example, a mountain lake or hiking trail. We schedule that day for dinner leftovers that evening. That way after a long day having fun on the road we don’t have to worry about a lot of work cooking dinner once home.

Pandemic Daytripper Checklist 

Have a basic tool kit, flat tire essentials, auto maintenance up to date, owners manual, etc. Treat any day trip like you would a normal year’s road trip preparation even though your travel distance is far less. The same kinds of travel mishaps can still occur.

Make sure cell phones are fully charged before leaving. I use a flip phone that holds its charge a long time while my wife’s marvelous smartphone needs daily charging to remain topped off. Nothing worse than finding out when you need your phone for a photo, call, or data search that it’s dead. 

Always have a face mask with you for any public interaction. Even if your destination is remote or there are no plans to leave the car. Bathroom breaks, auto breakdown, an adventurous decision to explore the wonderful creations of a food truck, etc. can put you in close proximity to others.

Carry hand sanitizer and even your favorite sanitizing wipes. Necessary handwashing won’t always be available. We carry small refillable pocket hand sanitizer and also have Clorox wipes in the car for our day trips. 

Make sure to pack food and water or other favorite beverage. Do this even if your plans are to pick something up at your destination. You never know if there are last minute shutdowns or capacity issues. We encountered a convenience store on our first trip that had some out of state licence plates in the parking lot and was full of non-socially distant maskless folks. We decided we wouldn’t join in the fun.   

Let someone know of your plans. Especially if traveling to a remote location where there may not be cell service. Anything can happen and if it does you want to be missed sooner rather than later.

Print out good directions and having a map is even better. Relying solely on your cell phone or a garmin for directions can lead to mishap.

Do a quick online weather check for your route and destination before leaving. A prediction of heavy thunderstorms means possible travel, leisure, and safety issues. Take appropriate clothing for the conditions you are traveling through and to. 

Making The Best Of What We Have Now

We enjoy our little daytripping adventures. It breaks up what has been a bit of a rut in our pandemic lifestyle as I’m sure most can agree gets a little old. However, it’s nothing like our normal vacation season and we still miss it. 

One thing for certain is that we are spending far less money this year because of it. Keeping that in mind, we over tip in full appreciation when we have the opportunity to enjoy a good meal out. Our retirement travel budget excess is being set aside for when things hopefully return to normal in the future. It will be then that we’ll make up for this lost travel year. 

3 Must-Have Insurance Policies at Any Age and How They Can Benefit You in the Long-Term

Whether you’re in your 20s, 30s, or 40s, there are several types of insurance policies that everyone needs—even if you’re young, single, childless, or don’t have many assets to protect. While it may seem redundant to insure your home, life, and health when you’re young, healthy, and occupying your home as a tenant rather than a homeowner, these policies can benefit you in more ways than you’d expect. To explore the many benefits of purchasing health, life, and homeowners insurance policies at just about any age, read on!

3 Must-Have Insurance Policies at Any Age and How They Can Benefit You in the Long-Term

Image via Pexels

1. Health Insurance

Health insurance may seem unnecessary if you’re young, single, and healthy, but this type of policy will keep you from paying thousands of dollars in medical bills if you’re in an accident, need surgery, develop a severe health condition, or require ongoing medical care for any reason. Plus, even the most basic health insurance policies cover everything from doctor’s appointments to preventative care services—including screenings for HIV, alcohol misuse, depression, and certain cancers. 

 

Moreover, the dangers of not having health insurance are vast. If you don’t have health insurance and can’t afford to pay for your medical services out of pocket, you may stop seeking medical attention altogether—which could result in a serious illness later in life. If you do receive medical attention, you could end up with thousands of dollars in medical debt—which may harm your credit and affect your ability to buy a home or obtain other types of financing. 

2. Life Insurance

Like health insurance, a good life insurance policy can benefit you at any age—even if you’re young, healthy, single, and expect to live well into your 70s, 80s, or beyond. However, accidents and illnesses can happen at any age—and it’s important to be prepared in the event that you die prematurely. If you support friends or family members, for instance, your life insurance policy will provide your surviving loved ones with the financial support they need in the event of your early death. Once you marry and start raising a family, you can name your spouse and children as life insurance beneficiaries as well. 

 

While the type of policy you purchase will depend on your financial obligations and personal needs, Mint.com recommends the following life insurance policies for singles:

 

  • Term life insurance. 
  • Disability insurance.
  • Long-term care insurance. 

 

Moreover, final expense insurance is another type of life insurance policy that protects your surviving loved ones when you die. While the benefit amount is typically lower than that of a standard life insurance policy, final expense insurance provides your surviving loved ones with an immediate payout in the event of your death. As such, this benefit amount can be used to cover the cost of your burial, memorial service, outstanding bills and debts, and other funeral-related expenses. 

3. Renters or Homeowners Insurance

Whatever your age, it’s also important to have a good renters or homeowners insurance policy in place. Renters and homeowners insurance policies pay for damages to your personal belongings due to theft, vandalism, fire, and water damages, and they offer other benefits such as personal liability protection and medical payments coverage. Unlike renters insurance, however, homeowners insurance also offers dwelling coverage. 

 

While a renters or homeowners insurance policy is vital whenever you rent or own property, it’s important to select the right deductible for your policy. In most cases, a high-deductible policy will be best for lowering your coverage costs and helping you to save money in the long term. 

 

Even if you’re young, unmarried, and child-free, these three insurance policies can save you money now, in the near future, and once you do get married or start raising a family. However, it’s important to consider your options carefully and take the time to find the right policy for your current budget and lifestyle. As time goes on and you become a parent, spouse, or homeowner, you can always modify your insurance coverages to fit your evolving needs.

 

This informative post was contributed to Leisure Freak by Brittany Fisher-

Brittany Fisher has spent more than 20 years as a CPA. She runs her own site, Financiallywell.info where she shares her knowledge about taxes, personal finance and general financial literacy hoping to help anyone who may benefit from it.

Echoes of 2008: Will COVID-19 Change Your Retirement Plans?

I’m hearing echoes of 2008 when the great recession was being fully recognized. If you are feeling angry, concerned, depressed, or worried about your coming retirement or its lifestyle, then congratulations are in order. You’re ahead of the population who have no plan and no options. I retired early just over 10 years ago and remember clearly how this can feel. The 2008 recession happened just as I hit my early retirement target. This time around the question is, will COVID-19 change your retirement plans? 

Although the financial collapse of 2008 and this pandemic both come with the tag of “unprecedented”, this is different. There are just as many unknowns and it may take years for things to appear anywhere near normal. But this worldwide event isn’t just about financial and employment turmoil hitting people and the economy. It’s also our physical health, even life and death.

Echoes of 2008: Will COVID-19 Change Your Retirement Plans?

Image Source

Should COVID-19 Change Your Retirement Plans?

It was an agonizing decision in 2008 when I decided to delay my early retirement. A delay that lasted a year. Things were still uncertain when I finally announced my retirement at the age of 51. But I was confident it was the right time to walk away. Where some of what I faced then still applies today, there are also new COVID-19 challenges to one’s retirement plan to consider. 

Employment –

The 2008 recession brought many layoffs. I began vocally angling for layoff selection so that I could collect a severance package and spearhead my retirement. They would instead choose to financially devastate other employees who needed to work and then pass all their work to me. I should have kept my eagerness to leave to myself and just under-performed. But at that time I had a misguided notion of workplace legacy that prevented me from doing that. So I used my time to continue saving and investing. I also looked for signs that the market had bottomed. That bottom happened in March 2009, but it took another 6 months for me to feel comfortable with that assumption. 

Healthcare –

Timing retirement for healthcare was crucial to my plan. I earned a retirement healthcare benefit where I could buy into the employee plan after 30 years of service. Leaving at my planned date or delaying retirement had no impact on it. I do pay a hefty price for my retirement healthcare and could save money with the ACA. But I have stayed with my old employer plan since it’s a “use it or lose it” benefit and the ACA has been under constant political threat.

Portfolio –

In the 2008 recession my portfolio took a big hit just like everyone else. I was diversified with a mix of stock and bond funds. But there was no safe haven from the recession’s crippling grip. It was depressing to finally get to my target and then watch my portfolio damaged by the recession. I kept running my numbers through a retirement calculator to build retirement funding confidence. Almost all of my retirement portfolio was in 401K, IRA, and Roth accounts. 

I had always planned on rolling my 401K and IRA funds into a SEPP 72t IRA retirement funding account to receive pre age 59 ½ penalty free distributions. While I was still on the job I would monitor the SEPP 72t calculated formula interest rate to assure distributions would meet retirement funding needs. As interest rates drop it takes much more to be tied up in the SEPP 72t IRA to get the desired retirement funding. 

Debt –

I was debt free in 2008 other than my modest mortgage. As interest rates continually dropped I used the delayed retirement time to refinance at a lower mortgage rate. The bank only saw me as someone still working for a long time employer. Not someone who was just waiting for the right moment to ditch the rat race.

The refinance lowered my monthly payment and at that time they offered no fee refinancing. The reduced mortgage payment allowed me to set aside more each month in my retirement savings as I waited for signs to pull the retirement trigger. Having a lower mortgage payment  also lowered the amount I would need each month from my portfolio once retired. 

Retirement Lifestyle – 

My job was far from flexible, I was required to be on site as a lead engineer supporting a billion dollar revenue generating operation with 24X7X365 pager obligations. I understood what I wanted to retire to, looking forward to a more flexible retirement lifestyle. I was upset about how the recession impacted those plans as much as any financial concerns. 

My plans included what I call retiring early and often. There were a lot of opportunities I wanted to pursue aligned with my interests and passions. I see retirement’s definition as the absence of NEEDING to work, not the absence of working. The timing of the recession and job retraction added challenges to that portion of my retirement plan. 

Some of my plans regarding my local community were being changed on a monthly basis. There were numerous business closures, places that I frequented and had built relationships with. Some of my more idealistic pursuits or retirement dreams were shattered with their closures. It required me to constantly change my retirement lifestyle goals and accept it as part of the flexibility I wanted to embrace.

In an environment where jobs and money are tight there are other dynamics that came into play. For example, I planned on being more free to travel. Checking travel rates during the recession showed that everything was discounted, making our travel more affordable. I’m an automotive enthusiast and it’s a big part of what I retired to. People thought the world was coming to an end in March 2009. On a panic sale I was able to purchase a car at a huge discount that I had been researching and chasing after for over 3 years. Where recession challenges presented themselves in some parts of my retirement plan others opened up.

New Pandemic Issues That Should Be Considered Within Retirement Plans

I used my early retirement delay to better position myself financially. But also just as important, to better position myself mentally for the new landscape that I would be retiring in. There are parallels with what’s happening now. But answering the question today, should COVID-19 change your retirement plans, has different nuances worth considering.

Safety –

COVID-19 is highly infectious and dangerous. I didn’t have to worry during the 2008 recession that staying on the job could kill me. When looking at the public who are now out and about, there is a high percentage who don’t take COVID-19 seriously. I have to believe that will be likewise in the workplace once it opens up. If I felt my work environment wasn’t safe I would have done things differently than I did when it came to my retirement delay decision. 

This safety issue is also paramount to retirement lifestyle plans. Just going out to the grocery and recreation, let alone travel, carries health risks. Finances aside, if I was able to ride this out with a work from home position I certainly would again delay retirement. For the already retired like myself, this atmosphere today is nothing like my pre-COVID-19 retirement lifestyle. I was amused to read that some felt this has been a taste of early retirement. But I see little difference to what one’s restricted lifestyle would be today after pulling the retirement trigger or working safely from home in this environment. Except for delaying retirement and working from home offers the opportunity to safely live this pandemic restricted lifestyle with a paycheck. 

Opportunity –

Do you even have a choice to stay on the job longer until things pan out? So many people are already being cut loose and collecting unemployment benefits and stimulus. If in this boat, I would think keeping my mouth shut about retirement plans, collecting unemployment, and looking for non-existent equivalent jobs as long as possible would be the strategy to use in this pandemic restricted environment. Even if that meant using some retirement savings to subsidize unemployment benefits until they run out. Only then quietly officially retiring.

If still working, then another reason to maybe keep quiet about retirement plans is there might be recessionary cutbacks in business going forward. This reduced business environment may last a while. Some companies may offer retirement incentives or packages to reduce employee headcount. If you are on the fence it may benefit you to wait and see what happens.

Pandemic Portfolio –

Diversification still matters. I found at the pandemic market’s lowest point in March 2020 that my recession hardened portfolio suffered far less than the S&P 500, DOW, or popular all stock market index funds. Thankfully the market has recovered a bit since that low. But as we’ve witnessed, the slightest hint of coronavirus economic bad news roils the market. That said, during this no end in sight pandemic until a vaccine is available world, I believe in having a sufficient cash bucket within my portfolio. No telling if that recent market floor will be breached and it being long lasting. 

My early retirement story is nothing spectacular and 10 years into it I’m still not old enough for Social Security. But if today I was under age 59 ½ relying on the same early retirement strategy as I was in 2008 then I’d be in real trouble. When looking at today’s super deflated 72t calculated interest rates, it would be difficult for all but those retiring early with million dollar IRA portfolios to rely primarily on a SEPP 72t strategy. Interest rates will have to rise before that can be a viable early retirement strategy for most people today.

Social Life – 

With this pandemic we have all now seen how isolation feels. Along with asking yourself, should COVID-19 change your retirement plans, we all need to ask how we plan to stay engaged in a world pandemic environment. Many people find out at retirement that our social life for the most part revolves around our work. It took me a lot of concentrated effort to expand my social circle beyond work after I retired. I see that everything I did to grow my social network when I first retired would be near impossible to do in this pandemic environment. 

It’s very important when deciding whether to retire now or delay to consider social engagement. If you’ve already built a large local non-work related social circle then this won’t be a major consideration. But if your social life relies on your work pals, I can say from experience that work friends can quickly fall away after retirement. The dynamic of our shared workplace experience ends and that primary bond breaks once we retire. 

We Have To Navigate the Circumstances

This pandemic has not only challenged many retirement plans financially, it has also disrupted retirement lifestyle plans. In the end, a successful retirement is more than just the numbers. What we retire to is just as important to consider in our plan. To avoid retirement regret and second guessing we also need to retire with confidence. That takes looking at all angles using what we know today and what we can logically assume going forward. 

Would my leaving on my long planned for target retirement date in 2008 have caused early retirement failure? I will never know. I do know that other than giving up a year of retirement freedom, my delay didn’t hurt me. It gave me time to get over the shock of an unprecedented world event and time to dig in mentally to what I really wanted. 

I had worked very hard to meet a 10 year early retirement plan. But instead of retiring on a predetermined date, I retired when it was the right time to retire given current unprecedented circumstances. What matters is that I successfully overcame recession related challenges and met all of my early retirement lifestyle desires.

It’s Up To You To Answer The Question

Should COVID-19 change your retirement plans? If you are among the fortunate to have any say in the matter, take your time and look at all the angles before deciding. Explore ways to leverage any opportunity to better your situation. Then jump in with both feet and feel confident in your decision. 

Will COVID-19 Change Actuarial Longevity and Retirement Planning?

I just learned that someone I know passed away from COVID-19. He was a successful small business owner in my town and an all around nice 51 year old family guy. I started to think about how we all try to be nice and successful. That and plan to eventually retire and live a long life. I’m thinking out loud, questioning the prospects for a long life. Will COVID-19 change actuarial longevity and retirement planning? Even if official actuarial longevity doesn’t change, with how badly unprepared the world and the USA was for this Coronavirus event, let alone coming disasters associated with climate change, should we even be planning to live much beyond the age of 70? 

Will COVID-19 Change Actuarial Longevity and Retirement Planning?

Image Source

Should COVID-19 Change Actuarial Longevity and Retirement Planning?

We are doing everything we can to avoid the virus but we have to face reality. It will never just disappear so infection is inevitable. Our chances only improve if we can avoid infection long enough for a vaccine to be available, successful treatments are developed, or at very least if infected and it’s severe it happens on the down side of the hospitalization curve. Even with access to hospital care there is no guarantee of survival. 

At some point this Coronavirus will punch us all and the older we are the harder it hits. Many people will be infected during the peak. Then not only are the risks of higher COVID-19 fatality rates for the plus 60 crowd still in play, but also the impacts of the critical medical care survival decisions that are being formalized. I live in the state of Colorado and they just released their COVID-19 patient care guidelines. I’m sure other states are doing the same. It clearly shows that when it comes to the nuts and bolts regarding who gets a ventilator or other scarce treatment for a chance to fight for their life, age will be considered during hospital shortages. The older you are the lower down the list you go. 

They will use a version of the Charlson Comorbidity Index.Will COVID-19 Change Actuarial Longevity & Retirement Planning?

Index Source-  (Screengrab from the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment’s website)

I suppose in this situation you have to make a cut somewhere. We’re all on the COVID-19 Titanic and there aren’t enough lifeboats. Beyond this current crisis there’s no reason to think any future mass event would be handled differently. There will never be enough lifeboats for everyone. But why wouldn’t our retirement planning now have that factored in? It’s no longer unreasonable for anyone who survives this pandemic to consider that the whole country or world can be hit with something again, either natural or unnaturally man caused. When it happens we will all be older too, adding to our life’s expendability factor. 

Looking At Actuarial Longevity Numbers

It was a big enough bummer to contemplate and plan for longevity when thinking we could live into our late 80s or 90s. Looking at the Social Security longevity calculator and plugging in my birth date comes up with their figure of age 82.7. I thought that was far more realistic than age 90, but they always tell us to plan for a long life. I’m wondering how realistic any of that is now. I did have a retirement plan to cover us until age 90. Not that I wouldn’t try to make it to that age if it was up to my own behaviors. But now I feel that regardless of our own actions the decision can be out of our hands the closer we get to our actuarial number. 

There has always been the chance of an earlier death because of things like drunk, high, or distracted drivers; cancer, crime, sharknado, etc. But it somehow feels elevated now. 

That’s why I’m now questioning retirement planning as far as longevity goes and I’m not the only one.

Some actuaries are already discussing longevity hits and CODID-19 impact to annuities and pensions. While others are focusing on how the Coronavirus death rate will impact the healthcare and life insurance side of things. What I have yet to see is anything from the retirement planning side. Too soon? Maybe, but I have a lot more free time these days to think out loud and wonder about things. 

The impacts of a shorter life span on our retirement plan. 

The good news- 

Early retirement may take much less money to pull off. It also means if reaching your mid 70s is about all there is then there may be less reason to wait beyond age 62 to collect Social Security. One less thing to worry about.

The bad news- 

We have to get busy to clear our bucket list because our ticket to leave the planet would get punched sooner than we wish to consider. 

 

It sure would make saving enough for early retirement easier to reach and pursuing FIRE an even easier decision to make. For those already on FIRE, losing 30%-50% of our portfolio in a COVID-19 market collapse wouldn’t be as painful either. Live less, need less.

There should be no surprise that just playing with FIRECalc will show how numbers drastically change with planning for a shorter lifespan. Taking a worse case scenario of an additional 40% loss to my portfolio shows the difference when using my existing spending budget. Age 75 came in at 100% success rate while age 90 came in at 77.7% to 95% depending on when I showed our Social Security would start.. 

What I’m Doing About It

The market has been up and down since the world stood still. It feels a lot like 2008 that way. There will be no surprise if it endlessly keeps doing this or even falls to a new lower floor until a vaccine is available. They say that is still 12 to 18 months off. I’m fortunate in that I have enough cash in my portfolio to go at least that long. Lucky me, in this Coronavirus pandemic my cash bucket might last longer than I do. 

I’ve made sure our Beneficiary designations, Will, and PoA are up to date.

If we had not already gone through the process of having a legal Will and POA drawn up we sure would be busy now getting that done the best we can. Not sure if family law lawyers are considered essential service during the pandemic shutdown. Online options may be one’s only recourse. 

I am not making any changes to anything in my retirement plan yet. 

I’m just waiting this out doing what I can to remain virus free. I am going to hang onto this thoughtline regarding COVID-19 being a longevity threat as a way to cope with any major portfolio losses that may still be ahead. I’ll need less than initially planned once I’m convinced that we will likely die younger than our 90s. Although, I never really thought that we would make it to 90 anyway. There will just be less left behind.

What I will do is pray that the death rate drops way off and the vaccine or treatment comes quickly. 

If not, then I’ll keep an eye on the actuarial expert’s appraisal of longevity. Any changes to lower life expectancy in the actuarial tables may suggest a positive change in people’s pension and Social Security payout. Something that could possibly change one’s retirement planning.

But what I really hope is to avoid the virus and be around to see how they roll out the vaccine once it’s available. 

My dream is the vaccine is found and will be readily available for everyone in an expedited and orderly fashion before the next pandemic round. If it comes with highly limited availability and goes like the handling of Coronavirus testing, or to the WH staff and their donors first (sorry, I’m cynical when it comes to these guys lately), and then rolls out using the way of scarce ventilator guidelines, I will make some lifestyle choices and retirement funding changes while I wait my turn. Something more befitting a shorter lifespan due to being classified as more expendable now and most likely even more expendable going forward for the next cluster-fetch. 

Perhaps I’ll start with an investment into the pleasures of single malt scotch. I might as well enjoy myself while being pushed to the back of the line. I would rather head down to the bar on the Titanic than cling to a side rail in panic during my last moments on the planet. 

Update 4/29/20: Anyone who experiences job loss due to the pandemic can check a new estimated stimulus unemployment benefit calculator. Zippia analyzed each state’s unemployment policies to determine how much unemployed workers can expect to receive under the coronavirus stimulus by state and salary. Remember, in addition to state level benefits, unemployed workers now receive an additional $600 a week for the next 4 months regardless of income. (The calculator is not a paid or sponsored link)

Recession Lessons Learned Hold Up During Pandemic Market Drop

I was still in my first long career and just months away from my FIRE date in 2008 when it became obvious it was all going to hell. I learned valuable personal finance lessons regarding once in a lifetime economic dumps when everything is unprecedented with no signs of stability in sight. But back then I was still employed and had options. Retiring early and living off of a portfolio presents different challenges when that “just enough” portfolio can be severely stressed. I took the recession lessons learned and applied them to my early retirement portfolio strategy. Here’s a quick rundown on how it has held up during this pandemic crisis and its related market drop.

Recession Lessons Learned Hold Up During Pandemic Market Drop

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Year To Date Numbers Look Rotten

Pulling some numbers for use as an example from the first of the year (1/2/20) to (3/19/20) before the market stimulus bump shows substantial investment market damage.

  • DJI, Dow Jones: -33.6% 
  • GSP, S&P 500: -29.2%
  • IXIC, Nasdaq: -24.3%
  • VTSMX, Vanguard Total Market Index Fund: -30.0%
  • Leisure Freak Tommy’s retirement portfolio: -17.4%

Fortunately the stimulus market bump occurred and the end of quarter numbers did improve from the week before but still the worst quarter since 1987

  • DJI, Dow Jones: -23.2% 
  • GSP, S&P 500: -20.0%
  • IXIC, Nasdaq: -14.2%
  • VTSMX, Vanguard Total Market Index Fund: -20.3%
  • VTI, Vanguard Total Market Index Fund -22.4%
  • VTSMX, Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund -20.3%
  • Leisure Freak Tommy’s retirement portfolio: -12.2%

2008 Recession Lessons Learned – Portfolio Diversification Matters 

My being somewhere between leanFIRE and FIRE had me a bit more conservative to reduce risk. I used the recession lessons learned to attempt lowering financial pain from another extended market dump during my early retirement. Although I have no problem working in retirement when I want to, I never want to NEED to work for survival. I’m sure that post pandemic there will also be plenty of new lessons learned from this crisis to carry forward. 

I know plenty of people who are all in with stocks, mostly through Index and ETF funds. I would watch the market go gangbusters of late and think, what if I had only been all in stocks or stock funds too? One of the recession lessons learned was that diversified portfolios recovered much quicker than those all in stocks. 

Great Recession Diversified Portfolio Recovery Details

Stocks/Bonds Maximum Loss Time to Breakeven
20/80 9% 22 months
40/60 23% 25 months
60/40 35% 37 months
80/20 46% 42 months
100% Stock 55% 59 months

Another 2008 recession lesson learned was that sometimes bonds will track with stocks instead of going the opposite direction as in past history. That may be the case this time too. Diversification can lessen portfolio decline but not stop it. As listed above, my portfolio is down 12.2% for the first quarter of 2020 with this COVID-19 pandemic. But that’s much less than the sampled stock indexes.

The numbers look bad and may get much worse. 

If I was fatFIRE I might be able to stomach large losses and continue on. I wondered if being all in stocks over the past few years meant the excessive gains they have enjoyed are far greater than what has trimmed thus far during this pandemic market dump. So I took a quick look at the numbers on 3/20/20 prior to the stimulus market bump when things were at their recent worst.

  • DOW closed 3/20/20 at 28,869. That takes it back to what it was 11/1/16
  • S&P 500 closed 3/20/20 at 3,258. That takes it back to what it was 1/1/17
  • Nasdaq closed 3/20/20 at 6,880. That takes it back to what it was 11/1/17
  • VTSMX Vanguard Total Market Index Fund closed 3/20/20 at $56.01. That takes it back to what it was 12/1/16

I used the Vanguard date of 12/1/16 because it went the farthest back and I looked at my portfolio amount. I haven’t added any money to my portfolio during this timeframe and on top of that it has been paying out to me monthly since then. Comparing my 12/1/16 portfolio amount to 3/20/20 it was down -16.4%, which was 1% better than it was when looking at the first of the year to 3/20/20. That’s even after paying out to fund my and my wife’s early retirement lifestyle since that time. There were also associated CFP wrap fees on 90% of the portfolio since then. So unless I am missing something, being all in stocks appears to be a lot riskier when a major market dump occurs. That would account for a longer post recession portfolio recovery time frame.  

My FIRE Portfolio Allocation

I do keep a diversified allocation of stocks and bond funds like many people do. But I do something else. I use a bucket strategy where I keep two years expenses in cash and short-term bonds along with another year in a savings account. It was 2 years ago (3/2018) when I set this asset allocation.

  • 18.5% Cash/Cash Investments
  • 29.5% Bonds Fixed Income
  • 48% Equities
  • 4% Alternatives

I did not see the astronomical portfolio growth over the past couple of years that I would have with a larger stock allocation. But I also didn’t experience the higher level of losses now. I hope things come back to some version of normal sooner rather than later. With all the unknowns I now really appreciate having the cash as my FIRE portfolio survival insurance. It’s calming to know it’s there to  support our retirement lifestyle without resorting to depressed priced asset sales for a couple of years. 

If post pandemic recovery goes like that of the great recession then I hope to see similar favorable recession portfolio recovery timeframes for a portfolio with a diversified stock/bond/cash allocation. A leanFIRE to FIRE early retirement means I don’t have a lot to cut from our lifestyle to reduce spending during a sustained market dump. That’s why I took the 2008 recession lessons learned to heart to help ensure my early retirement portfolio survival during once in a lifetime or never before seen world and market events. 

I’m not trying to tell anyone what they should have done before the pandemic hit. 

If I could go back in time I would have gone to all cash last month. But that’s not how things work. I have no idea how the recession lessons learned or my portfolio will hold up with the next market close or even my own personal survival. I am only sharing this to support FIRE as a worthy goal. When some are saying this pandemic market dump means the end of FIRE or the end of early retirement, I feel it’s times like this that reinforces the need for the good personal finance habits of FIRE. I believe that FIRE is still a worthy goal. These are the times that really test our financial strategies and offer lessons to use going forward. 

 

Update 4/30/20: Anyone who experiences job loss due to the pandemic can check a new estimated stimulus unemployment benefit calculator. Zippia analyzed each state’s unemployment policies to determine how much unemployed workers can expect to receive under the coronavirus stimulus by state and salary. Remember, in addition to state level benefits, unemployed workers now receive an additional $600 a week for the next 4 months regardless of income. (The calculator is not a paid or sponsored link)

Sacrifice And Return To Work To Save The Country? This Old FIRE Fart Refuses

Nothing is more welcome than a good laugh while social distancing and sheltering in place during a pandemic. I especially love to laugh at morons who go out of their way to influence folks to do corrupt, reckless, or even dangerous things so they gain from their demise. A bunch of “do as I say not as I do” wealthy old men who mean their advice for everyone else, not them or theirs.

What am I talking about? It’s the laughable new feeble attempts to fool or shame older folks to return to work and sacrifice themselves to save the country.  The other line is to accept that older Americans should be willing to sacrifice themselves to COVID-19 with a reopened economy for their grand-kids. I shouldn’t be surprised that this attempt of shaming the age 50+ comes from conservative influencers. Well I have news for them, it isn’t working. I know they weren’t specifically directing their BS at the early retired or the regular retired. Nevertheless, now this old FIRE fart refuses to work or freely spend money even more. But please keep the laughs coming. 

Sacrifice And Return To Work To Save The Country? This Old FIRE Fart Refuses
Ralph Illustrates How To Safely Dress For Grocery Delivery During Pandemic. Obviously Joking

Now This Old FIRE Fart Refuses To Work Or Spend, Thanks For My New Purpose

I have always been open to work in my early retirement. I’ve always worked because I wanted to, never needed to. But this new line being puked on conservative media has me thinking differently. It’s hard to think now that I would accept returning to work or freely reopening my wallet for any reason until there is a COVID-19 vaccine or antidotal treatment. I owe this new purpose all to conservative influencers, but please, anyone who wants to go right ahead. This old FIRE fart will  be keeping my distance. 

I stopped allowing people to tell me what I should or I will do when I FIRE’d and retired early. Big news flash, shaming didn’t work on me then and now as an old FIRE fart won’t work today. It’s just laughable and I only even go through the trouble of this post to mock this new line of tying love for country to the economy. I mean, just ditching the rat race is an audacious act in itself which makes me economically defiant to the system. I sure as hell won’t be shamed by any political influencer or politician. 

Here’s the most recent list of *#*$!# conservative influencers in just the last two days that I can thank for the laughs and for shaping my new FIRE attitude:

Texas Lt Gov Dan Patrick- Grandparents would be willing to die to save the economy for their grandchildren. Save the America that we all love for the grandchildren. 

Glen BeckOlder Americans should return to work: Even if we all get sick, I would rather die than kill the country.

Brit Hume- Putting lives of old people at risk to save the economy: It’s ‘entirely reasonable

My Moderate Views Has Me Politically Unaffiliated

Before anyone thinks I’m just a left wing socialist let me say that I have no political affiliation. I just don’t have the fear and grievance to buy what’s constantly being sold. Instead I have values that I live by and vote by. 

I do want a better country for my grand kids. But I choose to concentrate on supporting climate change. The same far right conservatives talk about older Americans sacrificing themselves for a better country for their offspring but refuse to put climate over dollars for their grand-kids. I am not surprised that for them lives are easily sacrificed for dollars too.

These full on pro-life folk for the unborn where every life is precious have no problem beginning their messages for older folks to just let go and see what happens. The message that risking death for the economy as patriotic is hypocritical to say the least. 

I think it’s best to listen to the medical professionals. Not politicians, political media influencers, or their worshipers. What the medical professionals say is the direction we should all go for a better outcome. I mean, for two months before this all got real, all we heard from the non-medical professionals was this was a hoax and a plan to politically hurt the president. Pathetic! So no, I won’t be influenced by anything they say now.

When I hear that the economy is the country I hear nothing but greed and power being challenged. I think that’s wonderful so keep it up. I believe the country is its people and I will only spend on necessities and at small local businesses I have always supported. 

Final Thoughts

When these far right conservatives put themselves out there at risk first then talk to the rest of us about the sacrifice for the country and patriotism. It’s like a draft dodger trying to convince us to go fight a war. How stupid is that? Talking about opening up the country for the economy and country’s sake before they themselves are back in full-on political rally mode and attending intimate country club fund raisers is laughable. Do as you say first before expecting any of us to follow. But please, please keep bringing the laughs. 

If you hate this old FIRE fart for refusing to accept the new conservative pandemic talking points then all I can say is I would rather lose all of my portfolio than give up the life of my elderly mother. So go ahead and hate, it seems to come easy to many far right conservatives. I didn’t FIRE for the economy, but to enjoy LIFE and spend as much time as I can with those I love. Not risk my life for an economy. This country is its people, not money. 

Update 4/29/20: Anyone who experiences job loss due to the pandemic can check a new estimated stimulus unemployment benefit calculator. Zippia analyzed each state’s unemployment policies to determine how much unemployed workers can expect to receive under the coronavirus stimulus by state and salary. Remember, in addition to state level benefits, unemployed workers now receive an additional $600 a week for the next 4 months regardless of income. (The calculator is not a paid or sponsored link)

The Common Post-Retirement Risk That Bit Me, Medical Scare  

When planning our retirement we have to consider many financial and non-financial aspects. But retirement planning must be flexible because there are a lot of unknowns when it comes to the future. Knowing that and experiencing it are two different things. A lesson I learned when recently bitten by a common post-retirement risk, having a major medical scare. Ten years into early retirement and now my plan and the way I think about retirement may go through major changes. 

The Common Post-Retirement Risk That Bit Me, Medical Scare  

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Medical Scare – Probably The Most Common Post-Retirement Risk

There are a few post-retirement risks that we can encounter. Unlike inflation or a recession that can impact our retirement finances, a health threat can dig deep into finances, lifestyle, and sometimes even our life expectancy. Although we do our best to avoid long-term harm from any post-retirement risk, sometimes our best isn’t enough. Especially a sudden and serious medical scare that can hit anyone at anytime. 

This is a cautionary tale about how little things can get overlooked and written off when something silently lurks but needs immediate attention before it’s too late. Something we should avoid for both financial and non-financial aspects of retirement. Sometimes a sequence of seemingly random little things are interconnected, turning into something large and dangerous to our lives and plans.

Making Health A Retirement Priority

I have made my health a priority in my early retirement. I hike, bike, weight train 3 days a week, and do cardio workouts on an elliptical 5 days a week. Basically with everything else I do I’m pretty active. I have never smoked, have my medical physical every year, bi-annual dental cleaning, and take my prescribed medications along with several vitamins and supplements. Moderation is used for alcohol, red meat, fatty foods, and sweets. Even so, I recognize now there are areas of improvement needed.

A Minor Injury, Just Like Hundreds Of Times Before 

It was more of an inconvenience or annoyance than an injury. While working on my car I slightly strained my knee by hyper-extending it. It was sore for a couple of days like any similar injury we casually write-off in life. The only thing remarkable about it was that my leg also felt tight. It eventually felt better other than a slight pain in my calf. It didn’t slow me down and it too passed after a couple of weeks. I was over it and never gave it another thought.

Ten Weeks Later Something Else Odd and Discounted

My wife and I were talking and walking through our Art Festival when I had to stop to catch my breath. It lasted all but 5 or 10 seconds and then everything was fine. The next day another few second episode while exercising on the elliptical. Odd, but I still just powered through it and went on with life. A few days later I wake up to that same leg injured many weeks before being swollen with pounding pain. I called my doctor’s office and it was recommended that I immediately visit the emergency room. 

Big Bad DVT and Right Lung PE

Once in the ER, blood work, ultrasound, and CT scan eventually found I was lucky to be walking the earth. My right lung was plugged up with clots from top to bottom and basically offline. I was living on one lung at 6,200 feet elevation’s oxygen levels. Fortunately my left lung was clot spared and up to the task. All of this because I hyper-extended my knee causing a bleed and clot many weeks before. Something I would have never considered happening to me.

Treatment and Surgery

Life has since revolved around heavy doses of blood thinner that included 25 days of miserable stomach injections every 12 hours. There was also a two day surgical procedure to clear the large clot in my leg and spending three days in the ICU. My retirement life at this time still revolves around blood thinner medication, compression socks, and avoiding any chance of getting scratched, cut, or bumping my head. The long-term treatment verdict is still out for a few months. There’s a 50/50 chance I will be on one of those expensive blood thinners for life. 

Will My Medical Scare Change My Retirement?

It certainly has opened my eyes to my mortality. I have had a lot to think about while taking it easy as directed to me the past 3 months. I was cursed in one way and blessed in many others. Cursed because the clot didn’t present itself as a clot for so long. Blessed because when it finally did I still had a chance. I also felt blessed to be retired and have the time to concentrate on recovery. 

Things will and have changed in my retirement lifestyle and potentially even some financial aspects 

At this time long-term treatment decisions are still months away as we await evaluation of my healing. If it’s determined that I need to stay on one of those new safer and effective blood thinners for life then my retirement budget will need to be addressed. It will need to cover a new expense of over $400 a month until deductibles are met for the medication once the manufacturer $10 co-pay coupon I got expires.  

I will also have to rethink some of my lifestyle activities if on the medication. I have taken many minor bumps and falls while mountain biking. That could cause serious problems if on blood thinning medication. Possibly limit biking to my slow lane beach cruiser bike. All the things I do that I have found it impossible to never bruise myself or bleed because of a cut or scrape to my hands or arms will have to be rethought. Including working on my car, major landscape, and house maintenance or improvements. That will bring another adjustment to my budget to cover paying for work done that I used to do myself. Much earlier than my previous old age budget plan.

Things that will definitely change

More than ever I see that we kid ourselves into thinking we can control everything. Life is finite, my retirement freedom is valuable, and I want it to last with quality as long as possible. It was a real bummer when this all happened. There’s a slight feeling of loss because I really loved the early retirement lifestyle I’ve created. But having to make changes and even sacrifices is part of countering any post-retirement risk that we encounter. I think I have moved past lamenting any loss, kicking myself for ignoring little things that grew into a giant threat, and I’m now looking toward my future. 

I’m not as tough as I used to think I was 

When something doesn’t feel right I can’t just power through it. I’ll need to change the way I approach my health and do a lot better about seeing my Doctor. I shouldn’t ignore any kind of lingering pain or odd events like a quick bout of shortness of breath.

I will definitely limit time sitting or standing still for too long. 

I’ve always limited extended sitting because of back pain. But now I will get up even more. Standing still waiting in long lines will also end. I also have a new appreciation for limiting anything that I don’t want around me or don’t want to waste time with. The top of the list are rude, pushy, and bullying people. I also have an even lower tolerance towards traffic, unwanted obligation, and manipulation. Life is too short to put up with crap.

Other lifestyle and health change on tap that have been put off or half-assed

I am really motivated to hit my long made weight loss goals. I hope this will also reduce the chances of a repeat DVT. Since this all started I am 40% towards my overall goal. Without exercise it’s all been about portion control and food choices. Once I can start doing more physically I should be able to hit my target. 

I’ll also pay better attention to my hydration. Something that slips past me when I am busy or playing hard. I think I will find many other little adjustments that will add up to big health benefits. 

It’s Easier To Miss Signs Of A Post-Retirement Risk Than We Think

Mixed signals and overlooked or discounted negative events can lead us to miss threats to our retirement and life. Occasional budget overruns, a poor investment return, cloudy economic signs, and issues associated with our health can sneak up on us. 

Optimism and confidence are welcome attributes but not when we let it blind us. I can’t help but remember how we all took a big hit with the market collapse in 2008-2009 and the recession. That is how it felt when the post-retirement risk of a health crisis hit me. There were mixed signals and overconfidence that had me power through it on my own when I should have had professional assistance to possibly catch what was coming my way. 

It’s a reminder that even with the best of plans and proactive retirement sustainability countermeasures, things can happen and throw everything into question. There are no guarantees, so we should do everything we can to enjoy what we have and to keep it.

Face It, We Are All Expendable: Financial Viability Countermeasures That Matter 

Our whole life is spent doing the best we can. We work to improve our careers, create meaningful relationships, and try to build a better financial future for ourselves and our family. But sometimes that isn’t enough and without warning it can all be crushed. I hate to burst anyone’s bubble, but we are all expendable. Face it, all of our efforts can become meaningless in a world where someone is constantly picking winners and losers. It’s hard enough watching our own steps. But the actions of others can undo everything no matter how well we are doing. Knowing that matters because we can stay open to the possibility within our plans and include financial viability countermeasures. Instead of blindly leaving our fate to chance, we should plan and act to counter our expendability.  

Face It, We Are All Expendable: Financial Viability Countermeasures That Matter 

There Are Many Ways Where We Are All Expendable

The economy and employment conditions are doing pretty good right now. However, there are signs warning that it might slow. For some it has already started. We’re all conditioned to believe that hard work, education, skills, reliability, preparation, and a positive attitude will keep us in the success zone. When things are going well it’s easy to be content, believing it will roll on forever. And it just might. Unfortunately that isn’t always the case when the fickle finger of fate selects us to lose. Sometimes our expendiablity is framed as part of a noble cause, for the better of many, or simply it just sucks to be you. 

My first memory of expendability

It seems unthinkable today. Having your life and chosen future plans made expendable solely on gender and date of birth. As a young teenager I was fully aware what hitting age 18 meant. My poor working class keister could get a draft notification for the jungles of Vietnam. 

Unable to get deferment through college or dodging the draft with wealth and connections, or having either to get a less lethal non front-line jungle assignment where us poor boys were sent, meant being expendable. 

It’s not personal, it’s just business 

A downturn in the economy, business, or just a change in direction and the picking of winners and losers begin. When that happens a variation of the same statement is told to thousands of the laid off, it’s not personal, it’s just business.  

Sometimes we can see this notification of our expendability coming when it’s based on last hired – first fired or by merit when we know we rank lower on the merit bell curve. Other times we can be blindsided. Especially when we are expendable in this picking of winners and losers and laid off for what we are, not what we do or how well we do it.  

Technical advances, innovation, and shifting trends 

We can become obsolete or replaceable by lower cost employees, innovation, or even shifting trends. We can be the best at what we do, but we can be left behind if we aren’t paying attention. Our expendable threat can come from companies chasing lower employee cost through offshoring, automation, and insourcing, to shifting consumer trends that our careers rely on.

I experienced this in my first career and many talented hard working people were dismissed. Advances in technology and consumer trends started to crush the century old landline telephone industry. The same thing happens from manufacturing to retail

Politics, policy shifts, big money lobbying, and ……..

There’s always someone of authority picking winners and losers that can cost us financially. And it isn’t limited to the corporate executives and managers that rule our paychecks. There are also our elected officials who decide who among us is expendable so they can apply favor somewhere else.  We adjust to stay relevant and financially viable by playing by the rules and then they change them. Through no fault of our own someone makes decisions that upends years, even decades of hard work and plan execution.

They can spin rationalizations all they want. But it’s just another form of “it’s not personal” but with a different flavor of “it’s business”, and in some cases it’s a dirty business. Policy shifts can make us expendable, from those toiling in the rat race to the retired. Here are a couple of the latest examples- 

Financial Viability Countermeasures to Mitigate Expendability

There’s no way to completely avoid being deemed expendable and having our finances and lives tossed out the window. What we can do is mitigate the damage when we are chosen to lose. 

Set goals and don’t be complacent

When things are going well it’s easy to be complacent, believing it will continue forever. But with the many ways winners and losers are chosen in the workplace, our best may not be enough once the tide turns. When we are needing paychecks to meet our financial goals, we need to constantly set work related goals to improve our personal brand to make ourselves professionally attractive. Not only to help avoid expendability, but to have the chance to recover quicker if we are made expendable. 

Being good at what we do is a great benefit and we should enjoy being where we are. But we should always be looking for opportunities to move forward, in our field or another and evolve. Stay in front of shifting trends and innovation to mitigate expendability.

I have decades of experience surviving a never ending layoff environment brought on by everything under the sun. Government ordered breakup, company merger, mismanagement and executive corruption, tech bubble burst, economic slowdown, shifting consumer trends driven by innovation, and the great recession. Even when I was part of the expendability target group for “what” I was. The same attributes that are attractive to our employer to help avoid our expendability would also be attractive to a new opportunity if the need arises.

Take control of debt

What’s worse than losing your income? Losing your income and having debt payments. When it comes to financial viability countermeasures, becoming debt free ranks high. Our chances of mitigating financial harm and beginning recovery increases because we have more options. We can stretch our financial resources like severance pay, unemployment insurance, or savings farther. We can also accept a lower paying position until we can transition to something closer in earnings to what we had.

There was a big stress difference between the layoff years when I had debt and the ones after I became debt free. Being debt free I knew we could weather the storm with less money needed. That allowed me to concentrate on my work to maintain employment viability instead of worrying about financial survival after any expendiblity event.  

Have an emergency fund

We benefit from having an emergency fund for many situations. One of those emergency situations is the loss of our income. Decide on how much to sock away. Most suggest a minimum of 3 months basic living expenses

When doing this calculation it’s also a great time to look at where your money is going. This is the perfect opportunity to set a budget and cut wasteful spending. Doing that will not only decrease the amount needed in the emergency fund but it’s another beneficial aspect added to our financial viability countermeasures. It frees up income to pay off debt and increase saving for both our emergency fund and retirement. 

Have a diversified investment portfolio

When it comes to investing, everything has been done to make stock investments winners and bonds, saving accounts, and CDs losers. With that being the story for years now, it’s easy to jump on the index fund investment bandwagon and go all in. But having a diversified investment portfolio that matches our long-term goals and short-term needs is another key part of our financial viability countermeasures. Because one day the expendability formula may change. 

History shows that a diversified portfolio will lose less and recover faster during any economic downturn. Claims that this time it’s different and ignoring history is easy to do when stocks are high flying. But by doing so we can be placing ourselves on the financial expendability list down the road when we can least afford it. Near retirees and retirees need diversification as a primary part of their deployed financial viability countermeasures.

Question government policy changes, investigate, and vote

Many times there is nothing we can do about avoiding government caused expendability pain. What we can do is get in front of it to soften the blow. I’m sure that many farmers today wish they could have had a way to get ahead of what’s happening to farming now. 

Another example is when the 2018 tax reform was passed. There was plenty of hype and people saw a bump on their paychecks. With only minimal working class tax cuts, what caused the bump was mostly about how payroll tax withholding tables where quietly changed. Blindly trusting the change left many with either a smaller tax refund than expected or owing money. Some owing a lot of money due to new deduction restrictions. It upended personal financial situations across the country. 

Question policy changes to see exactly what it really does. It’s always a game of picking winners and losers with a dose of unintended consequences. Investigate and keep your eyes open to possible impacts. That way you may have a chance to make adjustments to beat it or at least prepare in advance for any hits. 

Prioritize maintaining your relationships

It’s easy to get lost in our work and professional identity. But we all need relationships both professionally and personally. Once made expendable, having strong relationships is one of the key financial viability countermeasures we can rely on. Our network and personal relationships can help us to get a foot in the door of opportunity and begin our recovery. They also can keep our spirits up or offer a hand. Isolation is the last thing needed when tossed aside as expendable. 

Last but far from least, be sure to care for your relationship with your spouse. Nothing is worse than the surprise of being deemed expendable at home. Devastating both on a personal level and a financial one. 

Don’t Live Paranoid, Just Live Aware 

Face it, we are all expendable. Some live a charmed life and never taste or even recognize it. But we should all be aware that it’s always there. We all accept that we need to be aware of our surroundings and what we are doing to stay safe while out and about in this world. The same is true in our careers, retirement, and personal finances. We either leave everything to fate or take countermeasures to improve our odds.

The picking of winners and losers by those in power swings wildly. The trick is living and working in a way that makes the best of everything we have while never allowing complacency and a false sense of security add to our expendability risk.

Why I’m Fascinated With Dividend Investing

I’ve been fascinated with dividend investing for many years. It goes back long before I started my journey to financial independence and early retirement. It seems so simple. You buy a company stock that is stable and has dividend history on their side. A stock that figures for a potential future of continued business with dividend and stock growth. They then return to their investors a dividend that can either be reinvested to buy more of their stock or distributed as cash. My wife and I have financially benefited from dividend investing. We have dividend stocks in Mutual Funds and ETFs¹ within our portfolio. We have also benefited from growing wealth with reinvestment and harvesting distributions by owning individual stocks within our retirement accounts.

Why I'm Fascinated With Dividend Investing

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Some Folks Aren’t As Fascinated With Dividend Investing As I Am

Dividend focused investing doesn’t thrill everyone. A quick internet search will reveal opinions where fans of dividend investing will explain how they build their wealth and even divulge their monthly passive dividend income. You can also find just as many who aren’t fans of dividend investing who will explain why growth stock investing is the best and the only way to invest. 

The real appeal I see with dividend investing is that we have options to how dividends can be used depending on our financial situation. At least that’s my argument for using dividend focused investing as part of our retirement portfolio strategy. For those dividend investing naysayers who tell me to just buy some bonds, well I do have bonds as part of my portfolio diversification² strategy. They just don’t do it for me like dividend paying stocks do. Bonds feel like a loan I’ve made, one that can be paid off early. Once mature I get my money back but then other bonds have to be bought to replace them. Dividend investing feels much different. I like owning a piece of the company.

My Story With Dividends

Using dividends to pay down debt

All of my 401K match was in company stock in the first 20 years of my career. That was before my company was eaten by a growth company. There was no option to reinvest so every year I would receive an end of year dividend distribution. What I did was add it to my house payment and applied it to my mortgage principal to pay off my mortgage faster. It equated to about 3 months in additional principal payment. It was a painless way to reduce what I would end up paying in mortgage interest. Which at the time was at the going rate of 8%. Wow!

Reinvested dividends to increase wealth until needed for retirement

Today my wife enjoys a quarterly distributed dividend in her early retirement from her old ESOP. It is part of her retirement funding. The dividends come from owning her employer’s stock. Existing share to dividend yield is 5%. Over her career she had her investment split where 50% was invested in their Class A shares which reinvests dividends and 50% in their Class B shares that distributes quarterly dividends. 

After 20 years of equal amounts invested, the dividend reinvested Class A shares fund has 71% more in it than the Class B side of the account. It shows that even with a stable value stock that’s unlikely to rocket in share price appreciation, reinvested dividends do work through compounding to increase overall wealth until electing to use dividend distributions as part of a retirement income strategy.

A friend’s investment move that feeds my fascination with dividend investing

A company executive that I worked with told me something regarding dividend investing that seared into my brain. It was March 2009 and I lamented my portfolio losses right when I was planning to retire early. He had pulled out of investments in 2008, several months before the market found its bottom. He was planning to retire in 3 years while in his lower 60s. He told me that he just moved $800,000 of cash holdings to be split between AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ). At that time their stock price to dividend yield was about 8%. It was a risky move, even with understanding the telecom industry we were part of, but he told me: 

I don’t care if these stocks ever rise another dollar. I am locking in at an 8% return. I will reinvest the dividends until I retire and then take distributions to use for retirement income. 

Both stocks have climbed since then³. A quick look at AT&T shows it was $25.XX a share around that time and recently traded at $33.70, about a 30% increase. Its current dividend yield is in the 6% range. Verizon was trading then at $28.XX, now $57.37, a 101% increase. It’s current dividend yield is 4.26%. Was he lucky? Genius? Stupid? Risky? Whenever I tell this story I hear it all. Personally, I wouldn’t risk going all-in with a large sum like that on two dividend paying stocks, especially within a single industry segment, even if I had an equal amount to invest elsewhere. 

But here’s the overall message that I took from him. 

What imprinted on my brain is the concept of being satisfied with locking into a return based on the share price to dividend yield percentage you buy in at. That is of course as long as the dividend payout is sustainable, which is always the question. With this mindset, any stock price appreciation is just gravy. In a way, dividend investing with this mindset is like having an annuity that you can sell out of at the stock’s share price whenever you feel you should, need to, or want to. 

What To Consider When Buying Dividend Stocks 

Sustainable Dividend

A key aspect of dividend investing is owning stocks in healthy companies that can sustain the dividend it pays for years going forward. This takes analysis of the industry, company prospects, direction, management, financial strengths, etc. 

Dividend Payout Ratio

How safe is the dividend? Look at the payout ratio, the percentage of company income the company pays out in dividends. Having too high a percentage could spell trouble. There isn’t much left for the company’s retained earnings to promote growth. A lower percentage can mean there is sustainability and room for dividend and/or stock growth but may be too little to meet our goals.  

Avoid High Yield Seduction

Don’t be blindly seduced by high yield dividends. Safe, sustainable, and reasonable are the goals. Some high yield dividend stocks are risky. If the numbers don’t add up for the business or industry sector there is a chance the company will have to cut its dividend in the future. If that happens the market can sour on the company, causing the stock price to significantly drop too. Meaning we not only lose the high yield dividend we were chasing but also experience a loss in share value. 

Diversification

Keeping a diversified portfolio is still the goal. It’s ill advised to go all-in with a single dividend paying stock or even stocks within a single industry. The amount of dividend stocks we add to our portfolio should fit within the portfolio’s overall diversification strategy. One that’s aligned with our risk tolerance and goals. 

Buying Dividend Stocks

A Common Method of Dividend Investing is Buying an ETF 

Exchange Traded Funds are bought and sold like stocks. The single ETF contains many company stocks but is traded as one under its own stock trade symbol. They aggregate the various company dividend yields. Buying an ETF takes away all the required company stock analysis of dividend investing out of the equation as they are invested across entire indexes. 

Some high dividend yield ETFs emphasize holding large-cap equity stocks that are forecasted to have above-average dividend yields. They may have aggregated ETF dividend yields in the 3.3% range. Others provide a convenient way to track the performance of company stocks having a record of growing their dividends with ETF aggregated dividend yields around 1.85%. 

Seems simple enough. Go to any of a number of brokers who offer Dividend focused ETFs, select the index or type that meets your needs, and happily collect or reinvest your dividends. However, what we gain in convenience and possibly lower risk we lose in stock holding selection. That and the possibility of getting better stock appreciation and yields that better meet our individual goals if we had a more targeted investment approach. ETFs are a low cost but broadly spread out investment choice. Not that there’s anything wrong with that.

Buying and Owning Individual Dividend Paying Company Stocks
DIY Stock Purchases

If we’re able to do all of the company analysis ourselves, then picking individual dividend stocks to build our dividend investment portfolio is another option. This way we can concentrate on the companies and industries we believe have long term sustainable dividends and the business potential for possible stock and dividend growth. We could also craft a higher dividend yield portfolio.

Once decided on the companies, diversified investment strategy, and dividend yields that meet our goals, just open a brokerage account. Choose an online low cost brokerage like Ally Invest where each stock trade is a flat $4.95. These types of online brokerages allow for dividend reinvestment or distribution. But if planning smaller monthly deposits, take into consideration that low flat trade fee could add up if we’re constantly buying various stocks to build up our diversified dividend investment portfolio.

With this approach we will have to manage our portfolio ourselves. Looking for signs of future company dividend distress, business pressures that can affect stock value, etc. Also needed is yearly portfolio rebalancing* analysis and making any necessary trades to bring it in line with the overall diversification strategy.

CFP Managed Portfolio

Including a dividend investment strategy through a Certified Financial Planner (CFP) is another option. They can work with us on the company stock analysis and diversification strategy. There will be obvious CFP type fees to pay. Depending on our portfolio size those frees can range from 1% to 2% or more plus any brokerage trade fees. 

It does however mean that their knowledge and systems are in place to handle our rebalancing. They are also able to setup a dividend investment portfolio aligned with our goals and within our risk tolerance.

Online Robo Advisors Specializing In Dividend Investment Stock Ownership

There is a newer robo stock dividend investment option. Instead of our having to do all the important stock and sector analysis ourselves, they take care of that and offer dividend focused stock ownership. Rather than having a broad stroke index investing strategy as with ETFs, or paying a CFP’s high fees, they can build a dividend investment portfolio owning company stocks that is focused and tailored to our goals. Also one that’s within our risk tolerance, all without the higher CFP type fees. 

Like any stock investment, dividend investing has risks 

The rules of the investment universe are always with us. Even with complete and proper analysis, there’s no guarantee that investors will get the same results of a stock’s history, its expected returns, or dividend rate going forward. There’s no guarantee stock investors won’t lose money either. Investors should always consider the risks of any investment being made and remember the general rules of investing- Higher expected returns usually comes with expected higher risk. 

Having a diversified portfolio within the investor’s risk tolerance that’s aligned with their unique financial situation is always advised. That investment balance includes considering the allocation of both growth and value (dividend) stocks. 

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  •  1.Mutual Funds and Exchange Traded Funds (ETF’s) are sold by prospectus. Please consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing. The prospectus, which contains this and other information about the investment company can be obtained from the Fund Company or your financial professional. Be sure to read the prospectus carefully before deciding whether to invest.
  • 2.Asset allocation and diversification do not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss in a declining market. They are methods used to help manage investment risk.
  • 3.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance quoted.
  • 4.Rebalancing/Reallocating can entail transaction costs and tax consequences that should be considered when determining a rebalancing/reallocation strategy.